Saturday May 8 flying???

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    • #10475
      Rich WalendaRich Walenda
      Participant

        <div class=”row row-even row-forecast”>
        <div>Hello:</div>
        </div>
        <div>Are there any Saturday morning flying plans?  Saturday appears to be the better day of the weekend:</div>
        <div class=”row row-even row-forecast”>
        <div></div>
        <div class=”col-sm-2 forecast-label”><b>Saturday</b></div>
        <div class=”col-sm-10 forecast-text”>Areas of frost before 8am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 59. Light and variable wind becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.</div>
        </div>
        <div class=”row row-odd row-forecast”>
        <div class=”col-sm-10 forecast-text”></div>
        </div>
        <div class=”row row-even row-forecast”>
        <div class=”col-sm-2 forecast-label”><b>Sunday</b></div>
        <div class=”col-sm-10 forecast-text”>Rain likely, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.</div>
        </div>
        <div>Regards,</div>
        <div>Rich</div>
        <div></div>

      • #10476
        Don GrilloDon Grillo
        Keymaster

          Rich,

          Come on out. See you at the field.

           Aviation weather concerns this period consist of:
              
              * Lake breeze and an ENE wind shift late this AM/early PM
              * Developing soaking rain this evening and overnight with MVFR and
              potentially IFR cigs/vsbys
              * Low potential for some RASN for a brief period late tonight,
              mainly RFD and DPA.
              * Gusty easterly winds tonight into Sunday morning
              
              Light and variable winds will start the day off along with some
              very patchy/shallow BR at outlying airports. A freshening lake
              breeze will switch winds easterly/northeasterly, first at GYY, and
              then into MDW and ORD around 17-19z. Winds will then remain east
              or northeast through the rest of the TAF period.
              
              Rain chances look to increase quickly this evening, although there
              remains some level of uncertainty regarding just how quickly the
              low-levels saturate with the latest thinking that it may take a
              little longer at ORD/MDW/RFD than currently indicated by some of
              the more aggressive hi-res guidance. Eventually, MVFR vsbys/cigs
              should be commonplace, with a potential for IFR conditions. Have
              introduced TEMPO groups for a period where the steadiest/heaviest
              rainfall is currently expected, and these may need to be moved to
              prevailing groups if confidence increases. Latest guidance
              suggests that a cold rain should prevail at ORD/MDW, with some
              potential for a brief rain/snow mix developing at RFD and DPA.
              This potential still seems pretty low right now, but perhaps just
              high enough at RFD to justify a brief PROB30.
              
              Precipitation chances will begin to trend downwards through Sunday
              morning and certainly through the early-mid afternoon hours with
              some improvement to cigs/vsbys during this time.
              
              Carlaw

           

        • #10696
          Steven SnyderSteven Snyder
          Participant

            Yes. Come on out and reserve a glider.

            Steven Snyder224-628-2871

            ##- If you want to reply, type it above this line -##

            New topic posted by Rich Walenda.
            Title: General Discussion, Saturday May 8 flying???

            Content:

            Hello:

            Are there any Saturday morning flying plans?  Saturday appears to be the better day of the weekend:

            Saturday

            Areas of frost before 8am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 59. Light and variable wind becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

            Sunday

            Rain likely, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

            Regards,

            Rich

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          • #10697
            Steven SnyderSteven Snyder
            Participant

              Saturday morning Instructor, checkTow pilot,  checkStudents???

              Steven Snyder224-628-2871

              ##- If you want to reply, type it above this line -##

              New reply posted by Don Grillo.
              Topic title: Reply To: Saturday May 8 flying???

              Content:

              Rich,

              Come on out. See you at the field.

               Aviation weather concerns this period consist of:
                  
                  * Lake breeze and an ENE wind shift late this AM/early PM
                  * Developing soaking rain this evening and overnight with MVFR and
                  potentially IFR cigs/vsbys
                  * Low potential for some RASN for a brief period late tonight,
                  mainly RFD and DPA.
                  * Gusty easterly winds tonight into Sunday morning
                  
                  Light and variable winds will start the day off along with some
                  very patchy/shallow BR at outlying airports. A freshening lake
                  breeze will switch winds easterly/northeasterly, first at GYY, and
                  then into MDW and ORD around 17-19z. Winds will then remain east
                  or northeast through the rest of the TAF period.
                  
                  Rain chances look to increase quickly this evening, although there
                  remains some level of uncertainty regarding just how quickly the
                  low-levels saturate with the latest thinking that it may take a
                  little longer at ORD/MDW/RFD than currently indicated by some of
                  the more aggressive hi-res guidance. Eventually, MVFR vsbys/cigs
                  should be commonplace, with a potential for IFR conditions. Have
                  introduced TEMPO groups for a period where the steadiest/heaviest
                  rainfall is currently expected, and these may need to be moved to
                  prevailing groups if confidence increases. Latest guidance
                  suggests that a cold rain should prevail at ORD/MDW, with some
                  potential for a brief rain/snow mix developing at RFD and DPA.
                  This potential still seems pretty low right now, but perhaps just
                  high enough at RFD to justify a brief PROB30.
                  
                  Precipitation chances will begin to trend downwards through Sunday
                  morning and certainly through the early-mid afternoon hours with
                  some improvement to cigs/vsbys during this time.
                  
                  Carlaw

               

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