Welcome to Sky Soaring › Forums › Restricted content › Saturday May 8 flying???
- This topic has 3 replies, 3 voices, and was last updated 3 years, 5 months ago by Steven Snyder.
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Friday, May 7th, 2021 at 6:05 pm #10475Rich WalendaParticipant
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<div>Hello:</div>
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<div>Are there any Saturday morning flying plans? Saturday appears to be the better day of the weekend:</div>
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<div class=”col-sm-2 forecast-label”><b>Saturday</b></div>
<div class=”col-sm-10 forecast-text”>Areas of frost before 8am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 59. Light and variable wind becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.</div>
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<div class=”col-sm-2 forecast-label”><b>Sunday</b></div>
<div class=”col-sm-10 forecast-text”>Rain likely, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.</div>
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<div>Regards,</div>
<div>Rich</div>
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Saturday, May 8th, 2021 at 7:09 am #10476Don GrilloKeymaster
Rich,
Come on out. See you at the field.
Aviation weather concerns this period consist of: * Lake breeze and an ENE wind shift late this AM/early PM * Developing soaking rain this evening and overnight with MVFR and potentially IFR cigs/vsbys * Low potential for some RASN for a brief period late tonight, mainly RFD and DPA. * Gusty easterly winds tonight into Sunday morning Light and variable winds will start the day off along with some very patchy/shallow BR at outlying airports. A freshening lake breeze will switch winds easterly/northeasterly, first at GYY, and then into MDW and ORD around 17-19z. Winds will then remain east or northeast through the rest of the TAF period. Rain chances look to increase quickly this evening, although there remains some level of uncertainty regarding just how quickly the low-levels saturate with the latest thinking that it may take a little longer at ORD/MDW/RFD than currently indicated by some of the more aggressive hi-res guidance. Eventually, MVFR vsbys/cigs should be commonplace, with a potential for IFR conditions. Have introduced TEMPO groups for a period where the steadiest/heaviest rainfall is currently expected, and these may need to be moved to prevailing groups if confidence increases. Latest guidance suggests that a cold rain should prevail at ORD/MDW, with some potential for a brief rain/snow mix developing at RFD and DPA. This potential still seems pretty low right now, but perhaps just high enough at RFD to justify a brief PROB30. Precipitation chances will begin to trend downwards through Sunday morning and certainly through the early-mid afternoon hours with some improvement to cigs/vsbys during this time. Carlaw
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Sunday, June 13th, 2021 at 8:46 am #10696Steven SnyderParticipant
Yes. Come on out and reserve a glider.
Steven Snyder224-628-2871##- If you want to reply, type it above this line -##
New topic posted by Rich Walenda.
Title: General Discussion, Saturday May 8 flying???Content:
Hello:Are there any Saturday morning flying plans? Saturday appears to be the better day of the weekend:
SaturdayAreas of frost before 8am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 59. Light and variable wind becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
SundayRain likely, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Regards,
Rich
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Sunday, June 13th, 2021 at 8:46 am #10697Steven SnyderParticipant
Saturday morning Instructor, checkTow pilot, checkStudents???
Steven Snyder224-628-2871##- If you want to reply, type it above this line -##
New reply posted by Don Grillo.
Topic title: Reply To: Saturday May 8 flying???Content:
Rich,
Come on out. See you at the field.
Aviation weather concerns this period consist of: * Lake breeze and an ENE wind shift late this AM/early PM * Developing soaking rain this evening and overnight with MVFR and potentially IFR cigs/vsbys * Low potential for some RASN for a brief period late tonight, mainly RFD and DPA. * Gusty easterly winds tonight into Sunday morning Light and variable winds will start the day off along with some very patchy/shallow BR at outlying airports. A freshening lake breeze will switch winds easterly/northeasterly, first at GYY, and then into MDW and ORD around 17-19z. Winds will then remain east or northeast through the rest of the TAF period. Rain chances look to increase quickly this evening, although there remains some level of uncertainty regarding just how quickly the low-levels saturate with the latest thinking that it may take a little longer at ORD/MDW/RFD than currently indicated by some of the more aggressive hi-res guidance. Eventually, MVFR vsbys/cigs should be commonplace, with a potential for IFR conditions. Have introduced TEMPO groups for a period where the steadiest/heaviest rainfall is currently expected, and these may need to be moved to prevailing groups if confidence increases. Latest guidance suggests that a cold rain should prevail at ORD/MDW, with some potential for a brief rain/snow mix developing at RFD and DPA. This potential still seems pretty low right now, but perhaps just high enough at RFD to justify a brief PROB30. Precipitation chances will begin to trend downwards through Sunday morning and certainly through the early-mid afternoon hours with some improvement to cigs/vsbys during this time. Carlaw
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